Daily Gold Market Update - 21 October 2026

Status: No confirmed pullback
Instrument: COMEX gold futures (XAU/USD proxy) (GC=F)
Price: 4133.1
Downside score: 34/100

Technical Read

Metric	Value
20-day average	4190.76
50-day average	4363.89
RSI (14)	39.4
MACD / signal	-53.561 / -56.961
Five-day change	-1.06%

Estimated Indian Gold Rates

24K: ₹146,070 per 10g
22K: ₹133,890 per 10g

Session	24K ₹/10g	22K ₹/10g
15 Oct	₹147,440	₹135,150
16 Oct	₹147,440	₹135,150
17 Oct	₹147,660	₹135,350
18 Oct	₹147,660	₹135,350
19 Oct	₹148,040	₹135,700
20 Oct	₹146,080	₹133,900
21 Oct	₹146,070	₹133,890

Seven-Session 24K Trend

Next-Session Scenario Forecast

Bias: Mild bullish bias
24K range: ₹143,990 - ₹148,150 per 10g; central scenario ₹147,041
22K range: ₹131,983 - ₹135,797 per 10g; central scenario ₹134,780

• MACD remains above its signal
• US dollar is easing
• US 10-year yield is easing
• weaker equities support safe-haven demand
• global news retains safe-haven themes
• recent five-day price momentum is negative

Macro Inputs

Factor	Latest	Five-day change
US Dollar Index	101.79	-0.38%
US 10Y Yield	5.117	-1.92%
VIX	17.31	13.36%
S&P 500	7712.57	-1.19%
USD/INR	94.77	-0.54%
Crude	99.16	5.33%

Signal Factors

• price below 20-day average
• 20-day average below 50-day average
• RSI below 45
• negative five-day return
• news includes safe-haven support themes

Relevant News Themes

• Gold Steadies as Conflicting Iran Signals Cloud Path for Rates - Bloomberg.com
• Why gold and silver remain under pressure despite geopolitical risks and festive buying - CNBC TV18

Hyderabad rates are sourced from Goodreturns and are indicative city retail rates before GST, jeweller premium, making charges, and local taxes. USA, China, Russia, war, tariffs, Trump-related policy, and other geopolitical events are classified as news context only; they do not independently create an alert. The forecast is a scenario range, not a guarantee. This is educational market research, not investment advice.