Daily Gold Market Update - 25 October 2026

Status: Confirmed pullback alert
Instrument: COMEX gold futures (XAU/USD proxy) (GC=F)
Price: 4007.9
Downside score: 66/100

Technical Read

Metric	Value
20-day average	4155.26
50-day average	4341.87
RSI (14)	30.7
MACD / signal	-63.635 / -57.308
Five-day change	-4.14%

Estimated Indian Gold Rates

24K: ₹142,580 per 10g
22K: ₹130,700 per 10g

Session	24K ₹/10g	22K ₹/10g
19 Oct	₹148,040	₹135,700
20 Oct	₹146,080	₹133,900
21 Oct	₹146,080	₹133,900
22 Oct	₹144,380	₹132,350
23 Oct	₹142,480	₹130,600
24 Oct	₹142,580	₹130,700
25 Oct	₹142,580	₹130,700

Seven-Session 24K Trend

Next-Session Scenario Forecast

Bias: Neutral / range-bound bias
24K range: ₹140,466 - ₹144,694 per 10g; central scenario ₹142,580
22K range: ₹128,762 - ₹132,638 per 10g; central scenario ₹130,700

• US dollar is easing
• US 10-year yield is easing
• weaker equities support safe-haven demand
• Fed and inflation headlines pressure gold
• recent five-day price momentum is negative

Macro Inputs

Factor	Latest	Five-day change
US Dollar Index	101.81	-0.03%
US 10Y Yield	4.988	-2.16%
VIX	19.45	-2.7%
S&P 500	7623.68	-0.47%
USD/INR	94.94	-0.04%
Crude	103.27	1.83%

Signal Factors

• price below 20-day average
• 20-day average below 50-day average
• RSI below 45
• MACD below its signal
• negative five-day return
• new 20-day closing low
• news includes gold-bearish macro themes

Relevant News Themes

• Gold set for steep weekly loss as rising oil prices bolster Fed rate hike bets - Reuters
• Gold set for steep weekly loss as rising oil prices bolster Fed rate hike bets - CNBC

Hyderabad rates are sourced from Goodreturns and are indicative city retail rates before GST, jeweller premium, making charges, and local taxes. USA, China, Russia, war, tariffs, Trump-related policy, and other geopolitical events are classified as news context only; they do not independently create an alert. The forecast is a scenario range, not a guarantee. This is educational market research, not investment advice.